There are only four games left for the Houston Texans this season, and each snap is more crucial than ever. They have four weeks, just four games left to decide if Case Keenum is the answer going into the future. Keenum is now 0-6 as a starter, but as we all know wins and loses right now are not the determining factors. So what happens when I sit down and dissect Keenums six starts in the NFL? The results are mixed, but lean heavily on the poor side.
In those six games, Keenum has turned the ball over seven times (3 Interceptions, 4 fumbles), all of them coming in the last three games. For a good young quarterback, you would like to see their completion percentage up around 60 percent, Keenum has his over 55 percent just twice, his first two starts and now is staring at a measly 54.2 percent. And to say he is young here is not an excuse, he has the likes of All Pro Andre Johnson, and a talented rookie DeAndre Hopkins to throw to. This is not the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Texans are in prime position to become the Kansas City Chiefs of next year, if only they have the right guy under center.
While bursting onto the scene against the Chiefs and Colts, Kennum was the hot topic in the league while amassing 621 passing yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions. It was finally like Houston had found there answer at quarterback, but both were in losing efforts. Things have quickly gone down his since then, as he has struggled mightily in the last few weeks against weaker opponents such as the Raiders and Jaguars.
According to the ESPN QBR rating, Kennum is sitting at 41.2, which is good for 30th out of 36 qualifying players. He is slightly ahead of teammate Matt Shaub who was benched for him earlier in the season. Where a 50 is an average starter and 65-70 usually means you’re a pro bowl player, Keenum has hit over 50 just twice. Both coming against secondary’s that have been riddled with injuries this year in the Patriots and Colts. What is even more remarkable is that three games he has managed 8.6, 14.4, and a 27.1 rating. That puts him on the level with rookie Geno Smith, who is having a disaster year in New York.
While this past weekend he did manage a 71.1 rating, but this generates mostly because his defense and running game kept the Texans in it. Keenum went 15 of 30 with 272 yards no touchdown and an interception through the air. He was able to run in a score, he has now gone two straight week with no passing touchdown and two interceptions. The hovering around 50 percent completion percentage though, is what should concern most fans. No franchise quarterback will have anything under 60 percent.
While Gary Kubiak may have not decided his team’s future for next year, he already has the sample he needs to make the decision now. Let Keenum finish out the year, but he is not and will not ever be the franchise player this team so desperately needs. And who knows if it will be Kubiak’s decision, but that is another topic for another time.