4. Kansas City Chiefs (11-5 in 2013)
At one point last season, the Chiefs were 9-0; they were the last team in the NFL to lose a game in 2013. Yet, they somehow finished only 11-5, which is a terrible collapse down the stretch, suggesting that Kansas City was an early season fraud that was exposed as year progressed. This offseason, the Chiefs have seen a lot of talent leave town, while not much has come the other direction. So there’s plenty of reason to believe that the late-season slide will carry over into 2014.
3. Cincinnati Bengals (11-5 in 2013)
Making the playoffs in three straight seasons, something the Bengals had never done in their existence, should have people in Cincinnati excited. Instead, going one-and-done in each of those postseason appearances has people down in the Queen City. The pressure is on both head coach Marvin Lewis and quarterback Andy Dalton, something that will surely get to them at some point during 2014. And given that they play in a division with three legit contenders and one dark horse (Cleveland), there’s very little margin for error.