No quarterback has been hotter than Aaron Rodgers in the latter half of the NFL season. He’s “run the table” like he said he could and barring a collapse against the Vikings the Packers will have a serious chance to win the NFC North and most of that success is due to the offensive prowess of Aaron Rodgers.
Best Odds to Win NFL MVP
Ezekiel Elliott 15-8
Tom Brady 2-1
Derek Carr 6-1
Matt Ryan 7-1
Aaron Rodgers 14-1 pic.twitter.com/ePVtz3lNk8
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) December 21, 2016
His recent victory surge has put thrown Rodgers into the MVP conversation, but much of the hesitance with putting him above guys like Brady and Ryan stems from the poor statistical showing he had in the beginning of the year. The argument for Rodgers as MVP is centered around the fact that he’s played a full season (unlike Brady) and that he’s led his team back from the brink of irrelevancy to the NFC playoffs. At times, he’s made jaw dropping throws that win his team games.
Can we talk about this @aaronrodgers12 throw?
— NFL (@NFL) December 18, 2016
Rodgers is 346 for 533, a completion percentage hovering just under 65 percent. He’s thrown for 3,781 yards and 32 touchdowns with only 7 interceptions. He’s beat or tied in every category by fellow NFC quarterback Matt Ryan, who’s thrown for more yards and has a higher QBR. If MVP was based off the raw numbers he’d be the clear favorite to win it, but Ryan’s never been able to impress voters the way flashier names do.
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The current favorite seems to be Ezekiel Elliot, who’s had an outstanding season with 1551 rushing yards and 13 rushing touchdowns. He’s almost caught a passing touchdown, but he’s doing it behind football’s greatest offensive line which works for him on the field but against him in the voting. He’s a shoe in for offensive rookie of the year or even offensive player of the year, but he may not win the MVP.
So what’s the path for Aaron Rodgers to win the MVP? It’s unlikely, but if he has a stellar statistical performance in his final two games it’ll drastically improve his chances. If he can continue his hot streak against a good Vikings defense it’ll impress the voters and a victory against the Lions almost ensures the Packers the NFC North, which is good on a resume. He’d also need Tom Brady to either have some off games or potentially be sat (there’s a chance the Patriots don’t have anything to play for in Week 17). If Brady and Ryan both have rough final weeks while Rodgers thrives his chances to win the MVP will obviously shoot way up.