One of the biggest surprises in 2016 was Miami Dolphins wide receiver, Kenny Stills. The deep-threat speedster posted 42 catches for 726-yards and nine touchdowns, which resulted in 126.6 fantasy points, making him the 27th-ranked receiver in fantasy football.
Stills had a rough first half of the 2016 season in regards to fantasy football as he recorded double-digit fantasy points in just two of the team’s first eight games.
Since he wasn’t worthy of a roster spot, unless you play in a very deep league, those who were fortunate enough to pick him up off waivers were pleasantly surprised with the second half of the season as Stills reeled off five double-digit scoring games and another 9.5-point performance over the team’s final eight games.
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One stat several fantasy football analysts pay attention to when projecting players for the upcoming season is how they finish the season before. In Stills’ case, this bolds very well for the newly re-signed receiver as along with averaging 9.5 points per game the second half of the season, he also scored a touchdown in six of his last eight games including one in each of the last four games.
While these aren’t eye-popping stats that’ll make you make it a point to draft the player, they show a level of consistency that you can plug and play during bye weeks or if another receiver on your team goes down with an injury.
Stills’ nine touchdowns on just 42 catches results in a touchdown every 4.7 catches, which I haven’t found an official stat for, but when you compare it to some of the best receivers in the league it’s pretty impressive.
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To name a few:
Antonio Brown = 1 TD/8.8 catches
Mike Evans = 1 TD/8 catches
Odell Beckham Jr. = 1 TD/10.1 catches
Jarvis Landry = 1 TD/23.5 catches
While this is a stat that Stills is currently dominating, it hardly seems sustainable with the amount of playmakers Miami has accumulated on the offensive side of the ball.
With Landry likely to lead the team and flirt with 100 catches once again in 2017, the remaining receptions will likely to distributed fairly evenly between Stills and DeVante Parker with Julius Thomas and the running backs snagging a few as well.
Also, Stills isn’t the type of receiver who is going to be targeted several times each game as a possession/take-over-the-game type receiver, so while he’ll get behind defenses and score some long touchdowns for fantasy owners, he’s not the type of player you’re looking to lead your group of wide receivers.
With that being said, my 2017 projection for Stills is 50 receptions for 750 yards and six touchdowns making him a WR3 or an option to plug and play when facing bye weeks and/or injury issues.