This season there are quite a few players I feel will outperform their ADP. Some of these guys have switched teams like Julius Thomas and Latavius Murray. However, the guy I chose may benefit because he stayed put and watched two main targets leave town.
Josh Doctson of the Washington Redskins currently has an ADP of 132 on Yahoo. By the end of the season, you can look back at him as a steal at that spot. In a 12-team league, that would be round 11.
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It is hard to bet on a guy that has only played in two NFL games and has an Achilles issue. But, Doctson was dominant in college at TCU, and he was taken by the Redskins in the first round. If he is 100 percent by week one, which he tweeted out in February that he was, he will eventually emerge as Kirk Cousins second favorite target. A slow start can be expected, but patience will be rewarded.
Tight end Jordan Reed will probably lead the team in receiving. With Doctson’s size (6’2, 206) and speed (4.5 40 yd dash), he can stretch the field more than Jamison Crowder. In addition, he can get more physical than Terrelle Pryor.
If you plan on going after Kirk Cousins in your fantasy draft, and you miss out on Jordan Reed, do not be afraid to go after Doctson. With Pierre Garcon off to San Francisco, and Desean Jackson down south to Tampa, their 2,046 receiving yards and seven touchdowns will go to someone. Not saying Doctson will do those type of numbers, but combine those departures and the fact defenses will likely key on Reed-Crowder-Pryor, and there is potentially a breakout season in the making.
So, If I have convinced you to select Doctson this year, you can wait for a while to draft him. But if you wanted to get him a little earlier, I think he could be chosen ahead of rookie John Ross, ADP 122 or Michael Floyd in Minnesota, ADP 92. By the end of the season, I predict he will be ahead of teammates Crowder and Pryor and will be around WR30.