Fantasy Focus: Time to go all-in on Brandon Marshall

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Brandon Marshall
Jun 13, 2017; East Rutherford, NJ, USA;New York Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham (13) looks on as New York Giants wide receiver Brandon Marshall (15) catches the ball during mini camp at Quest Diagnostics Training Center. Mandatory Credit: William Hauser-USA TODAY Sports

Brandon Marshall had three touchdowns and 788 receiving yards last season with the New York Jets, despite that aberration, he is still the best wide receiver in fantasy since 2012. You read that right.

Brandon Marshall Fantasy Career Ranks
Year Age G FantPos FantPt VBD PosRank OvRank
2006 22 15 WR 44 91
2007 23 16 WR 180 58 9 24
2008 24 15 WR 162 45 11 31
2009 25 15 WR 176 64 9 22
2010 26 14 WR 120 2 29 72
2011 27 16 WR 161 42 13 30
2012 28 16 WR 217 98 2 7
2013 29 16 WR 206 84 6 13
2014 30 13 WR 118 35
2015 31 16 WR 230 106 3 6
2016 32 15 WR 97 53
1711

This past off-season, Marshall was released by the Jets to clear cap space. That was probably one of the happiest days of his life. I also imagine when the New York Giants came calling with a two-year $12 million-dollar deal, he was ecstatic. Talk about a change of fortune! Going from a team projected by many to go 0-16, to a team that has goals of going deep into the playoffs must be a great feeling for an athlete.


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Marshall is currently being drafted 69th, (12-team, PPR) according to Fantasy Football Calculator. That makes him the 32nd wide receiver taken, and while that doesn’t qualify this as a true sleeper, he will finish the season a top 15 guy. Everything is in place for Marshall to be successful:

  1. Best Quarterback he’s ever played with (Eli Manning)
  2. Playing alongside Odell Beckham, Jr will free him up from double coverage
  3. Only 4 legitimate threats for targets
  4. Won’t be focal point of defense

While he is 33 entering the season, and Beckham will probably be Eli’s favorite target, I feel their numbers will be similar. I could see each receiver finishing with 10 touchdowns, and Beckham finishing with more yards. Second-year receiver Sterling Shepard is also emerging as a decent player and will look to be more involved in the offense as well. Dwayne Harris will be the only other receiver that gets significant targets.

Brandon Marshall since leaving Denver
Game Game Rece Rece Rece Rece Rece Rece Rece
Year Age Tm No. G GS Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD R/G Y/G
2010 26 MIA 19 14 14 146 86 1014 11.8 3 6.1 72.4
2011* 27 MIA 19 16 16 141 81 1214 15.0 6 5.1 75.9
2012*+ 28 CHI 15 16 16 192 118 1508 12.8 11 7.4 94.3
2013* 29 CHI 15 16 16 164 100 1295 13.0 12 6.3 80.9
2014 30 CHI 15 13 13 106 61 721 11.8 8 4.7 55.5
2015* 31 NYJ 15 16 16 173 109 1502 13.8 14 6.8 93.9
2016 32 NYJ 15 15 15 128 59 788 13.4 3 3.9 52.5
Care Care 167 151 1592 941 12061 12.8 82 5.6 72.2
4 yr 4 yr DEN 61 45 542 327 4019 12.3 25 5.4 65.9
3 yr 3 yr CHI 45 45 462 279 3524 12.6 31 6.2 78.3
2 yr 2 yr MIA 30 30 287 167 2228 13.3 9 5.6 74.3
2 yr 2 yr NYJ 31 31 301 168 2290 13.6 17 5.4 73.9

Eli Manning could realistically throw for 30 touchdowns this year. Since 2012 Manning has the seventh most pass attempts in the red zone and adding the 6-foot-4 Marshall will be a huge advantage down there. Defenses won’t be able to double cover anybody on the Giants, due to all the weapons. It’s not the quantity, it’s the quality. This isn’t a situation like the Patriots, where any one of eight guys could catch a touchdown. Without a stud tight end, Marshall will not have to do much sharing. Beckham will more than likely have more fantasy points, but it will be closer than people think.

This year the Giants have the 13th easiest schedule for the wide receiver position. Another star lining up for Marshall to be successful. The fantasy playoff run could be a little tough, facing Dallas, Philadelphia, and Arizona, but we can worry about that if you make the playoffs.

So draft Brandon Marshall. Wait until the 6th round and you will call that great value at the end of the season. If you feel someone else might like him, and you must reach, go ahead and take him before Jamison Crowder, Allen Robinson, Terrelle Pryor, and Tyreek Hill. (All drafted ahead of Marshall).

– Chad Miller is a Staff Writer for cover32/Fantasy and covers Fantasy Football. Like and follow on

 

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