Did the preseason last three months or am I the only one feeling that way? Finally, we are on the cusp of another football season and for millions of us, that means fantasy football! Is your goal to win money? Is it to beat someone’s team in your work league bad enough you can make little “Spanked that butt” motions in the hallway? No matter your reason you’ve got to win the game. We here @Cover32_FF are here to help. Here are my @badappleFFB thoughts for week one.
Buy: Carson Palmer
Yes, Palmer let me down last year also. But we must decide if the real Carson Palmer is closer to last years or the 2015 version. I think there is enough left in the tank for Palmer, who is on the road in Detroit, to do damage. The Lions were 28th against opposing quarterbacks last year. Arizona has proven to me that as much of an uber stud David Johnson is, they want to throw it.
Sell: Matt Ryan
Ryan took a huge step into the top tier of quarterbacks last year. I think he will regress a little bit but in Week One I think the Bears pound the ball with Jordan Howard to limit Ryan’s touches. Atlanta was in the bottom third of the league in stopping the run and if there is anything the Bears do well it’s run the football.
Buy: C.J. Anderson
The late Monday Night game features the Chargers at the Broncos. Anderson is a top 10 caliber back when he is healthy. The quarterback situation in Denver is still substandard. Even though he may lose a few touches to Jamaal Charles I still think Anderson dominates the game.
Sell: Lamar Miller
Miller was a thousand-yard rusher last year but the two games against Jacksonville didn’t help much. Miller carried the ball 32 times for 77 yards or an average of 2.4 yards a carry. Over a yard and a half lower than his 4.0 YPC average for the year. A lot of people don’t realize that Jacksonville has a good young defense.
Buy: Tyreek Hill
I have heard all the Kareem Hunt hype. I’ve also seen New England take away things other teams want to do on a regular basis. The Patriots defense could suffer from the retirement of Rob Ninkovich but I think the game plan will be to shut down the rookie running back and make Kansas City quarterback Alex Smith win the game. Vegas agrees with the Patriots installed as 7.5-point favorites. That should translate into lots of opportunities for the explosive Hill.
Sell: Dez Bryant
In the past three games against the NY Giants, Dez has averaged 7 targets for 2.3 receptions a game. That’s an average of 3.3 fantasy points a game. That will not win your games. I think Dez overall this year might wind up as a Top 10 receiver but avoid him against the Giants.
Every week during the season I’ll be doing a buy or sell column exclusively here at cover32_FF. If you have any suggestions or enjoyed this the best way to say it is to follow me @badappleFFB and the entire @Cover32_FF crew. Please stop sending money. My wife just finds it and spends it on shoes anyway.