Let’s start the season with a few 50/50 cash game lines using an elite QB / RB combo with some WRs that have plus matchups and/or high Vegas implied game scores.
Although I’m playing the full slate – I will not be playing anyone in the Thursday night game. People tend to overdraft players in this game in order to have a rooting interest in it. Although every move has a contrarian counter strategy – I’ll stick to one of my best practices here.
Strategy: draft consistent/low variance players while paying up for QB and RB.
QB: Matt Ryan / ATL at $6900 on DK provides a low risk / high floor option despite playing on the road in Chicago. Also consider: either QB in the SEA / GB game which has a Vegas implied game-total of 51 points.
RB: David Johnson / ARZ is my pick in a 2 horse race at RB1 between DJ and Le’Veon Bell. Take either. Although, it’s been reported that Bell will receive up to 30 touches this week – I’m targeting David in week 1 given Le’Veon’s late arrival to camp. Also, consider LeSean McCoy who is the focal point of the Bills offense.
RB2: I’ll take the full PPR DK points of Darren Sproles / PHI at $3900.
WR: I’m skipping the top couple of tiers here since we paid up at QB / RB1. Take your WR’s from the games that have high implied game totals: Doug Baldwin / SEA, Larry Fitzgerald / ARI, Michael Crabtree / OAK ($1200 cheaper than Cooper), Stefan Diggs / MIN, and Eric Decker / TEN. Also consider: wedging Jordy Nelson / GB into this mix.
TE: Zach Ertz / PHI is a great high floor / high ceiling selection.
FLEX: Mohamed Sanu / ATL to stack with Matt Ryan in the game that has the 3rd highest implied total score. Also consider: Rishard Matthews / TEN if not using Decker.
DEF: NYJ vs. a weak Bills offense in the Tank Bowl. This game has the 2nd lowest implied game total of 40.50 points. The Bills D is the top priced defense of the week at $3900 – I’ll take the Jets D at $2400.
I entered lineups with this tipsheet into single entry $5 and $10 50/50’s with 4, 57 and 114 entrants.
Look for my GPP games lineup tipsheet too.