Fantasy Football Week 11: Which Guy Do I Start?

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Nov 12, 2017; Los Angeles, CA, USA; Los Angeles Rams quarterback Jared Goff (16) scrambles out of the pocket during the second half against the Houston Texans at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 12, 2017; Los Angeles, CA, USA; Los Angeles Rams quarterback Jared Goff (16) scrambles out of the pocket during the second half against the Houston Texans at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Which Do I Start?

Hello my fantasy football friends and family! Andrew Erickson back again to help you decide which guys you need to have in your lineups for Week 11 of the NFL Season. Tyrod Taylor let me down last week, but DeMarco Murray looked pretty good with his 3 TDs. Remember in some situations both players can be started, but in some scenarios you may not have the space to start them both.


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Quarterbacks

Jared Goff: LAR @ MIN- Start – 45.5
Matthew Stafford: DET @ CHI– Sit – 41

Case Keenum: MIN vs LAR- Sit – 45.5

Dec 18, 2016; Arlington, TX, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Cameron Brate (84) catches a touchdown pas against Dallas Cowboys cornerback Anthony Brown (30) in the third quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 5, 2017; East Rutherford, NJ, USA; Los Angeles Rams quarterback Jared Goff (16) reacts to a 2nd half touchdown against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

Both Goff and Stafford have had excellent seasons in 2017 ranking nine and ten overall in points scored at the quarterback position in fantasy. However for Week 11, Goff has the much better matchup. The Bears defense has played very well against the QB position only allowing an average of 13.02 fantasy points which ranks sixth best in the league. Stafford has also struggled against the divisional rival Bears in the past. Last year in two games against the Bears, Stafford threw one touchdown and four interceptions while throwing for less than 230 yards in both games. Goff will be facing off against the Vikings who have allowed the most fantasy points to the QB position over the last two weeks. The Vikings will also be without starting safety Andrew Sendejo. Teams have also often thrown a ton, when playing the Vikings as they have allowed the sixth most pass attempts per game this season with 36. In addition to sitting Stafford you better sit Keenum as well.

Keenum was a hot waiver-wire this week, but I think it may be time to pump the brakes on him. The Rams this year have allowed the fourth fewest fantasy points to the QB position this season and are second in the NFL in opponent interceptions thrown per game. Keenum threw two interceptions last week, and with Teddy Bridgewater back and healthy, I can only imagine that Keenum has a short leash. Over the past four weeks the Rams have allowed an average of 7.15 fantasy points to the QB position. Do not chase the points with Keenum this week.

Running Backs

Rod Smith: PHI @ DAL- Start – 48
Isaiah Crowell: CLE vs JAX- Sit – 37.5

Nov 12, 2017; Atlanta, GA, USA; Dallas Cowboys fullback Rod Smith (45) runs after a catch against the Atlanta Falcons in the first quarter at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 12, 2017; Atlanta, GA, USA; Dallas Cowboys fullback Rod Smith (45) runs after a catch against the Atlanta Falcons in the first quarter at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

For anybody that may ask themselves, “Who could be in this situation?” just note that this is exactly the situation I am in with one of my fantasy football squads. Smith is in my starting lineup this week because I like his potential volume against the Eagles. Last week Smith led the backfield in snaps over starting running back Alfred Morris, and I expect the same in Week 11. Last weeks game script saw the Cowboys playing catch-up and that will most likely remain the same against the Eagles, that rank second in the league in points scored. With many of the Philadelphia games following that script it has opened the opportunity for pass-catching backs to be uber-productive. The Eagles this season have allowed the fourth most receptions, fifth most targets, and second most TDs to the RB position. If only things could be as positive for Crowell who has been playing better the last few weeks. He rushed for a career high 90 yards last week, and has scored in back to back weeks. However, things will change against the Jacksonville defense that has been elite against the run since acquiring Marcel Dareus from Buffalo. They have not allowed a running back to rush for more than 42 yards since Week 6. The only damage done by the RB position last week, was done by Austin Ekeler in the passing game. Duke Johnson plays that role on the Browns, so it is hard to trust Crowell producing through the air. Considering that the Jaguars can stack the box and make Deshone Kizer throw, makes this a week to bench Crowell for sure.

Wide Receivers

Demaryius Thomas: DEN vs CIN- Start – 38
Marqise Lee: JAX @ CLE- Sit -37.5

Oct 15, 2017; Denver, CO, USA; Denver Broncos wide receiver Demaryius Thomas (88) catches a forty yard reception in as New York Giants cornerback Janoris Jenkins (20) tackles in the second quarter at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 15, 2017; Denver, CO, USA; Denver Broncos wide receiver Demaryius Thomas (88) catches a forty yard reception in as New York Giants cornerback Janoris Jenkins (20) tackles in the second quarter at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Neither of these players really has a great matchup on paper. The Browns have been very good against wide receivers in fantasy. They have allowed the fourth fewest receptions/targets, and seventh fewest yards this season. This along with just two receiving touchdowns to WRs over the last four weeks make it a tough matchup for Lee. However, it is not so easy for Thomas either. The Bengals against WRs have allowed the second fewest receptions, third fewest targets, and fourth fewest yards. This along with just three receiving touchdowns over the last four weeks. However Cincinnati has allowed 242.6 passing yards on average on the road this season versus 141 passing yards they allow at home. So with the slight edge on the matchup and the fact that Lee with probably be drawing coverage from Jason McCourty in a game that is projected to have 20 mph winds…Thomas seems like the logical choice. The game script will more likely keep the Broncos-Bengals tight whereas Jacksonville will probably get a lead early and limit Bortles throwing the ball as much as they can. Denver is 11th in pass attempts per game while Jacksonville ranks 26th in that category. Cleveland also ranks third in fewest pass attempts allowed per game while the Bengals rank 17th in that category.

Tight Ends

Cameron Brate: TB @ MIA  – Start – 42.5
Benjamin Watson: BAL @ GB – Sit – 38

Dec 18, 2016; Arlington, TX, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Cameron Brate (84) catches a touchdown pas against Dallas Cowboys cornerback Anthony Brown (30) in the third quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 18, 2016; Arlington, TX, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Cameron Brate (84) catches a touchdown pas against Dallas Cowboys cornerback Anthony Brown (30) in the third quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

This season the Dolphins have allowed the fifth most fantasy points to the TE position while the Green Bay Packers have allowed the least fantasy points to the TE position this season. Brate has only had two catches over the last two weeks, but that should change against Miami who have allowed the second most receptions to the TE this season. Start Brate confidently.

 

– Andrew Erickson covers Fantasy Football for cover32. Like and follow on

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